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British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has proposed pay increases of 6% and above for teachers, doctors, and other workers in an effort to bring an end to the ongoing public sector strikes.

Accepting the recommendations put forth by independent pay review boards, Sunak emphasized that this would be the final offer presented. The decision comes after widespread industrial action across the country, with public sector pay failing to keep up with inflation. In May, Britain's inflation rate stood at 8.7%, the highest among major developed economies.

Sunak addressed the media during London Tech Week at the QEII Centre on June 12, 2023, expressing his intent to resolve the months-long public sector strikes. He acknowledged that implementing these pay increases would result in significant costs exceeding the government's initial budget, potentially necessitating cuts in other areas.

"This is a substantial pay award, one of the largest we've seen in decades, and it comes with a price tag that amounts to billions of pounds more than what the government had originally allocated. This will have consequences," Sunak stated.

He further emphasized the finality of the offer, asserting that there would be no further negotiations regarding this year's settlements and that no amount of strikes would alter the government's decision.

In response to Sunak's offer, education unions promptly announced the suspension of planned strikes and recommended accepting the proposed deal.

While the pay increases fall short of Britain's current inflation rate of 8.7%, they aim to address the disparity following a period of intense industrial unrest, the worst the country has experienced in over three decades. Junior doctors will receive a 6% pay uplift alongside a lump-sum payment increase of £1,250 ($1,633.25), while teachers will see a 6.5% increase. Similar settlements will be provided to police and military personnel.

With more than a year of elevated inflation, peaking at over 11%, the government faces the challenge of balancing the need to end strikes with escalating public debt levels. Meeting the demand for higher wages without increasing taxes, cutting other public services, or failing to meet self-imposed borrowing reduction targets presents a difficult dilemma.

The finance ministry confirmed that no new borrowing or spending would be undertaken to finance the pay increases. Instead, funding for teachers' salary rises would be reallocated from the existing department budget.

Sunak outlined the methods for funding the higher salaries, including an increase in the fee charged to international workers for accessing the centrally-funded health service and an elevation in the cost of obtaining a visa to enter Britain.

Trade unions are likely to scrutinize other sources of funding closely, as they have expressed concerns that budgets for public sector services, such as hospitals, are already stretched thin.

Facing an upcoming election next year and trailing significantly in opinion polls, Sunak has pledged to halve inflation. Government ministers have highlighted the risk of raising wages too high, as it could undermine this objective and potentially solidify rising prices.

The Bank of England, however, has primarily focused on pay in the private sector, which has seen faster growth compared to public-sector pay and has a more immediate impact on consumer price inflation calculations.

As of May, Britain's inflation rate of 8.7% remained the highest among major developed economies.

At slightly below the average for advanced economies, Britain's total debt stands at just over 100% of GDP. Photo by AnemoneProjectors (talk), Wikimedia commons.